Projection Of Maternal Mortality For Equatorial Guinea Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Technique
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol57.pp34-42Keywords:
Exponential smoothing, Forecasting, Maternal Mortality RatioAbstract
This study uses annual time series data on MMR for Equatorial Guinea from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The study utilizes Holt’s double exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.7 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that MMR will fall from around 163 in 2024 to about 44 deaths per 100 000 in 2035. Therefore, we encourage health authorities to adopt the suggested 5-fold policy prescription.Downloads
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2026-10-21
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How to Cite
Projection Of Maternal Mortality For Equatorial Guinea Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Technique. (2026). Texas Journal of Medical Science, 57, 34-42. https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol57.pp34-42
