Determination Of Future Trends Of Maternal Mortality For Ghana Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Technique
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol59.pp11-19Keywords:
Exponential smoothing, Maternal Mortality Ratio, ForecastingAbstract
This study uses annual time series data on MMR for Ghana from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The study utilizes Holt’s double exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.1 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that MMR will continue to fall but still remain very high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage authorities to address local factors associated with maternal deaths and carryout routine quality improvement activities across the country.Downloads
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2026-10-21
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How to Cite
Determination Of Future Trends Of Maternal Mortality For Ghana Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Technique. (2026). Texas Journal of Medical Science, 59, 11-19. https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol59.pp11-19
