Estimating Future Values Of Annual Maternal Mortality For Guatemela Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Technique
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol59.pp1-10Keywords:
Exponential smoothing, Forecasting, Maternal Mortality RatioAbstract
This study uses annual time series data on MMR for Guatemala from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The study utilizes Holt’s double exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.1 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that MMR will decline from around 91 in 2024 to around 54 deaths per 100 000 live births in 2035. Therefore, we encourage authorities to attend to local causes of maternal mortality and direct some of the resources to quality improvement activities.Downloads
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2026-10-21
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How to Cite
Estimating Future Values Of Annual Maternal Mortality For Guatemela Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Technique. (2026). Texas Journal of Medical Science, 59, 1-10. https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol59.pp1-10
