Maternal Mortality Projection For Egypt Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Model
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol56.pp90-98Keywords:
Exponential smoothing, Forecasting, Maternal Mortality RatioAbstract
This study uses annual time series data on MMR for Egypt from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The study utilizes Holt’s double exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.1 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that MMR will decline and remain very low over the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage authorities in Egypt to address local causes of avoidable maternal mortality and improve surveillance of severe maternal morbidity.Downloads
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2026-10-21
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How to Cite
Maternal Mortality Projection For Egypt Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Model. (2026). Texas Journal of Medical Science, 56, 90-98. https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol56.pp90-98
