Forecasting Maternal Mortality For Gabon Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Model
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol58.pp8-15Keywords:
Exponential smoothing, Forecasting, Maternal Mortality RatioAbstract
This study uses annual time series data on MMR for Gabon from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The study utilizes Holt’s double exponential smoothing model. The optimal values of smoothing constants α and β are 0.9 and 0.8 respectively based on minimum MSE. The results of the study indicate that MMR will likely increase and remain very high throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage authorities to adopt the suggested 5-fold policy prescription.Downloads
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2026-10-21
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How to Cite
Forecasting Maternal Mortality For Gabon Using The Double Exponential Smoothing Model. (2026). Texas Journal of Medical Science, 58, 8-15. https://doi.org/10.62480/tjms.2026.vol58.pp8-15
